More software going to the free side. The pressure is increasing on vendors. We appear to be in the middle(maybe the late beginning, its hard to tell) of a transformation of the software industry. Business as usual which is high license fees and high maintenance contracts for questionable quality and even more questionable support is going by the wayside.
This is probably a good thing. Increased quality, better support and innovation could all be the result of this pressure. Only time will tell how it is going to play out. I say again, you should know where you vendors strategies are and how they are going react to this. If they don't have a plan, watch out.